Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Angers had a probability of 17.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for an Angers win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
