Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
