SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sochaux had a probability of 15.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Sochaux win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Sochaux |
| 63.1% | 21.73% | 15.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.4% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% | 71.99% |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.75% | 15.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.07% | 43.93% |
| Sochaux Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.75% | 45.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.87% | 81.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Sochaux |
| 1-0 @ 12.97% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.68% 3-0 @ 7.65% 3-1 @ 6.07% 4-0 @ 3.6% 4-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.41% 5-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.13% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.12% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.7% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 5.47% 1-2 @ 4.08% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 1.08% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.17% |
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