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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Municipal du Ray
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Nice
2 - 1
Nantes

Dolberg (21' pen.), Thuram (56')
Dante (44'), Amavi (64')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Girotto (45')
Sylla (15')

We said: Nice 1-0 Nantes

Nice are finding ways to win the matches they need to, and this is another big one, and although they will not have the veteran presence of Schneiderlin, they have a keeper in fine form, who just stole three points away from Brest and should have an easier time against a Nantes side who do not have as much depth in attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 47.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
NiceDrawNantes
47.51%27.67%24.82%
Both teams to score 44.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.4%60.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31%80.69%
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.48%60.51%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.39%40.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.79%77.21%
Score Analysis
    Nice 47.5%
    Nantes 24.82%
    Draw 27.65%
NiceDrawNantes
1-0 @ 14.16%
2-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.69%
3-0 @ 4.38%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.49%
4-1 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 9.38%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.27%
2-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 24.82%

Read more!
Read more!


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