SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 36.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 36.16% | 26.45% | 37.4% |
| Both teams to score 52.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.91% | 52.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.18% | 73.81% |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% | 27.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.67% | 63.32% |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% | 27.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.61% | 62.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nantes | Draw | Lens |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.16% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.25% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.88% Total : 36.16% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 8.23% 0-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 3.59% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.16% Total : 37.4% |
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