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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Dec 22, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
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St Etienne
0 - 1
Nantes


Moueffek (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kolo (83')
Castelletto (71')

We said: Saint-Etienne 1-0 Nantes

Dupraz has a reputation for reviving teams on the brink of relegation, and playing Nantes could be just what they need to get back to winning ways in the league, losing only two of their previous 17 Ligue 1 affairs versus La Maison Jaune. Nantes have had difficulty against the lower teams in the French top flight, and they have struggled away from home, winning only one of their last six road games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nantes in this match.

Result
Saint-EtienneDrawNantes
27.34%27.06%45.59%
Both teams to score 47.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.95%57.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.06%77.93%
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55%36.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.76%73.23%
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03%24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39%59.6%
Score Analysis
    Saint-Etienne 27.34%
    Nantes 45.59%
    Draw 27.06%
Saint-EtienneDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 4.63%
3-1 @ 2.16%
3-0 @ 1.56%
3-2 @ 1.5%
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 27.34%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 9.1%
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 12.62%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-2 @ 8.76%
1-3 @ 4.09%
0-3 @ 4.05%
2-3 @ 2.06%
1-4 @ 1.42%
0-4 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.59%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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