Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.