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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 38
May 21, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Auguste Delaune
N

Reims
2 - 3
Nice

Ekitike (9'), Doumbia (17')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Delort (75' pen., 77', 82')
Dante (25'), Brahimi (90+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-3 Nice
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Reims 0-1 Nice

Nice's team spirit will have been thoroughly tested by a fortnight in which they lost the Coupe de France final and then fell out of the fight for the Ligue 1 podium. They have also not drawn any of their last eight games and we are backing that all-or-nothing streak to continue with a win here. Whether or not that will prove to be enough for a European spot remains to be seen. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Reims had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
ReimsDrawNice
34.66% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03) 28.31% (0.048000000000002 0.05) 37.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.81% (-0.141 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.56% (-0.172 -0.17)59.44% (0.173 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.19% (-0.133 -0.13)79.81% (0.134 0.13)
Reims Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (-0.108 -0.11)32.33% (0.107 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.16% (-0.123 -0.12)68.84% (0.124 0.12)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)30.82% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-0.116 -0.12)67.09% (0.11699999999999 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Reims 34.66%
    Nice 37.02%
    Draw 28.31%
ReimsDrawNice
1-0 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 2.81% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 34.66%
1-1 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.96% (0.065000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 11.72% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 37.02%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: St Etienne 1-2 Reims
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 1-2 Lens
Sunday, May 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-2 Reims
Sunday, May 1 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 0-1 Marseille
Sunday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Reims 2-1 Lille
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-0 Reims
Sunday, April 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-3 Lille
Saturday, May 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 4-2 St Etienne
Wednesday, May 11 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 0-1 Nantes
Saturday, May 7 at 8pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Bordeaux 0-1 Nice
Sunday, May 1 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nice 1-0 Troyes
Sunday, April 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 1-0 Nice
Wednesday, April 20 at 6pm in Ligue 1


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