Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
