Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
