SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Saint-Etienne had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Saint-Etienne win it was 1-0 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 17.96% | 21.76% | 60.28% |
| Both teams to score 52.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% | 45.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% | 67.76% |
| Saint-Etienne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.03% | 38.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.31% | 75.69% |
| Rennes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% | 14.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.24% | 42.76% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saint-Etienne | Draw | Rennes |
| 1-0 @ 5.37% 2-1 @ 4.87% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.53% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.18% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 0-0 @ 5.7% 2-2 @ 4.68% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.76% | 0-1 @ 10.95% 0-2 @ 10.53% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 6.36% 0-4 @ 3.24% 1-4 @ 3.06% 2-3 @ 3% 2-4 @ 1.44% 0-5 @ 1.25% 1-5 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.61% Total : 60.27% |
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