Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Rennes win was 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.