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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Mar 14, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade Felix Bollaert
ML

Lens
2 - 2
Metz

Clauss (13'), Cahuzac (36')
Gradit (8'), Haidara (19'), Medina (37'), Fofana (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Goncalves (27' pen.), Delaine (57')
Goncalves (37'), Boye (50'), Sarr (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawMetz
42.16%27.49%30.35%
Both teams to score 48.13%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.72%57.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.88%78.12%
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.88%62.12%
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.78%34.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08%70.92%
Score Analysis
    Lens 42.16%
    Metz 30.35%
    Draw 27.48%
LensDrawMetz
1-0 @ 12.08%
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 3.49%
3-2 @ 2%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1.15%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 42.16%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 9.18%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 5.28%
1-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 30.35%

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