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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 33
Apr 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
L

Strasbourg
1 - 2
Lyon

Sanson (15')
Aholou (39'), Djiku (46')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lukeba (32'), Caqueret (36')
Diomande (35'), Lukeba (68'), Kumbedi (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Strasbourg 1-1 Lyon

Any result for Strasbourg here will feel important with the two sides below them not playing this weekend, and Auxerre facing Marseille away. Lyon have only lost one of their last nine away games, and despite last week's disappointment, they should be able to extend that run here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLyon
33.86% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 25.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 40.45% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.95% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.037000000000006 0.04)49.1% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.033999999999999 0.03)71.17% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (0.052000000000007 0.05)27.7% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.74% (0.064999999999998 0.06)63.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.75% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.25% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 33.86%
    Lyon 40.45%
    Draw 25.67%
StrasbourgDrawLyon
1-0 @ 8.53%
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.86%
1-1 @ 12.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.77% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.13% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Reims 0-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 23 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Ajaccio
Sunday, April 16 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Strasbourg
Friday, April 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 4-3 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 2 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 1-2 Lyon
Friday, April 14 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, April 9 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-0 Lyon
Wednesday, April 5 at 8.10pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: PSG 0-1 Lyon
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 1-1 Nantes
Friday, March 17 at 8pm in Ligue 1


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