SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Lyon in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
33.69% ( 0.3) | 23.78% ( 0.1) | 42.53% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 61.62% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.38) | 40.4% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.23% ( -0.39) | 62.78% ( 0.39) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( -0.01) | 23.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.25% ( -0.01) | 57.76% ( 0.02) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( -0.33) | 19.29% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.96% ( -0.54) | 51.04% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Lyon |
| 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.7% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.51% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.89% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.29% Total : 42.53% |
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