On paper, Lyon should not have any trouble defeating Strasbourg, but outside of Lacazette, no one on their team has been consistent from one match to the next.
Racing looked more motivated versus Lens but overall have not shown that they can sustain early momentum throughout 90 minutes.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
0.24) 
-0.07) 
