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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 2, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II
S

Monaco
4 - 3
Strasbourg

Vanderson (19'), Ben Seghir (54'), Diop (58'), Fofana (65')
Camara (40'), Fofana (45+3')
Fofana (78')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mothiba (32'), Maripan (41' og.), Diallo (90+3')
Diarra (53')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-1 Strasbourg

The form table suggests Monaco may struggle in this one despite the huge difference in league positions. However, their win last time out against Ajaccio may give them confidence, even if Strasbourg impressively held Marseille in their last away outing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawStrasbourg
61.34%20.66%17.99%
Both teams to score 55.92%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.59%40.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.21%62.78%
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.29%12.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.08%38.91%
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06%35.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28%72.72%
Score Analysis
    Monaco 61.34%
    Strasbourg 17.99%
    Draw 20.66%
MonacoDrawStrasbourg
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 9.42%
3-1 @ 6.84%
3-0 @ 6.68%
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 3.5%
4-0 @ 3.45%
4-2 @ 1.81%
5-1 @ 1.46%
5-0 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 61.34%
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 5.09%
0-0 @ 4.57%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.66%
1-2 @ 4.93%
0-1 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.74%
1-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 17.99%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajaccio 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, March 5 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-3 Nice
Sunday, February 26 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 2-3 B. Leverkusen (3-5 pen.)
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Brest 1-2 Monaco
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
Sunday, March 19 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Brest
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Clermont 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-1 Angers
Saturday, February 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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