SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Toulouse in this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
33.04% ( 0.54) | 24.06% ( -0.04) | 42.9% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.06% ( 0.39) | 41.93% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.66% ( 0.39) | 64.34% ( -0.39) |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% ( 0.51) | 24.76% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% ( 0.71) | 59.32% ( -0.71) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0.05) | 19.76% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.19% ( -0.09) | 51.81% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.7% Total : 33.04% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 42.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
