SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Angers had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for an Angers win it was 1-0 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
19.01% ( -0.09) | 21.89% ( -0.07) | 59.1% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 0.18) | 44.33% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 0.17) | 66.7% ( -0.17) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.86% ( 0) | 37.14% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.07% ( 0) | 73.93% ( -0) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.35% ( 0.11) | 14.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( 0.22) | 42.78% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Lyon |
| 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.52% Total : 19.01% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.88% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 10.03% 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 59.09% |
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