SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Toulouse |
45.85% ( -0.67) | 24.03% ( 0.16) | 30.11% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 59.04% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.93% ( -0.48) | 43.07% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.48) | 65.47% ( 0.48) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.47) | 18.97% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.49% ( -0.78) | 50.5% ( 0.78) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.87% ( 0.09) | 27.13% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.47% ( 0.12) | 62.52% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.31% Total : 45.85% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.03% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.01% Total : 30.11% |
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