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T
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 4pm UK
Stadium Municipal
L

Toulouse
0 - 2
Lille


Nicolaisen (85'), Sierro (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alexsandro (85'), Bayo (90+11')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 3-3 Lyon
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Toulouse 1-1 Lille

A closely-fought contest between two inconsistent teams is set to be played out at Stadium TFC, and although Lille will be regarded as slight favourites to come out on top, we believe that Toulouse will follow up last weekend's win with a hard-fought point on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.9%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
ToulouseDrawLille
33.56% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 23.11% (-0.061 -0.06) 43.33% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 64.06% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.82% (0.311 0.31)37.18% (-0.306 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.62% (0.335 0.34)59.38% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (0.151 0.15)22.22% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (0.224 0.22)55.64% (-0.22 -0.22)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.151 0.15)17.64% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.25700000000001 0.26)48.25% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Toulouse 33.56%
    Lille 43.33%
    Draw 23.11%
ToulouseDrawLille
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.9% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.44% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 33.56%
1-1 @ 10.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.67% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.92% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.11%
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.8% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.86% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.41% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 43.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Angers 0-2 Toulouse
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-1 Clermont
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 6-1 Rodez AF
Wednesday, March 1 at 5.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Reims 3-0 Toulouse
Sunday, February 26 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-3 Marseille
Sunday, February 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 3-1 Rennes
Sunday, February 12 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 3-3 Lyon
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Saturday, March 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Brest
Friday, February 24 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Lille
Sunday, February 19 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France


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