SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
22.6% ( 0.44) | 22.24% ( 0.51) | 55.16% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 58.07% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( -1.85) | 41.13% ( 1.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -1.91) | 63.52% ( 1.91) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.18% ( -0.64) | 31.82% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.75% ( -0.74) | 68.25% ( 0.74) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.17% ( -0.93) | 14.83% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( -1.8) | 43.14% ( 1.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Toulouse | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0.21)0-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.58% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 2.99% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.15)1-5 @ 1.14% ( -0.12)0-5 @ 1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.97% Total : 55.16% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
