SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.51%) and 0-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.62%), while for a Lens win it was 2-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Paris Saint-Germain.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
20.98% ( -0.04) | 21.11% ( 0.09) | 57.91% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.06% ( -0.51) | 37.94% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.8% ( -0.55) | 60.19% ( 0.55) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( -0.34) | 31.47% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.14% ( -0.39) | 67.86% ( 0.39) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.08% ( -0.18) | 12.92% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.64% ( -0.37) | 39.36% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 20.98% | 1-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.72% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 57.91% |
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