SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Monaco win was 2-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
26.67% ( -2.39) | 22.75% ( -0.35) | 50.58% ( 2.74) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.59% ( -0.1) | 39.41% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.11) | 61.75% ( 0.11) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.36% ( -1.7) | 27.63% ( 1.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.82% ( -2.24) | 63.18% ( 2.24) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.23% ( 0.95) | 15.77% ( -0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.1% ( 1.73) | 44.9% ( -1.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monaco | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.41) 1-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.67% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.5)1-3 @ 5.89% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.27)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 1% ( 0.11)Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.58% |
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