Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
