Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 44.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Clermont in this match.