Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Laval had a probability of 15.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Laval win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.