Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Laval had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Laval win it was 1-0 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
-0.41) 
0.62) 
