Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pau had a probability of 17.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Pau win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
