SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 19.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Dijon win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ajaccio in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Dijon |
| 53.32% | 26.99% | 19.68% |
| Both teams to score 40.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.54% | 62.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.93% | 82.07% |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.25% | 23.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.11% | 57.89% |
| Dijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.02% | 46.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 17.53% | 82.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajaccio | Draw | Dijon |
| 1-0 @ 16.03% 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 8.71% 3-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 4.17% 4-0 @ 1.99% 3-2 @ 1.58% 4-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.29% Total : 53.31% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.43% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 8.43% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.68% |
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