Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pau win with a probability of 39.85%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pau win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pau in this match.
