Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rodez AF win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Ajaccio had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rodez AF win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Ajaccio win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
-2.37) 
2.39) 
