Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 53.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.76%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 1-0 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
-0.01) 
0.05) 
