Despite displaying their newfound defensive acumen during the visit of Toulouse, Ajaccio should not expect such good fortune at the Parc des Princes, where going all out for the win needed to prolong their stay could and should prove fatal.
Galtier's side have hardly been a force to be reckoned with on their own patch of late, but it should simply be a case of how many Les Parisiens can rack up, as their visitors wave goodbye to the big boys in less-than-ideal fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 84.06%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 5.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 4-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.91%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-2 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
0.72) 
-0.42) 
