Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Concarneau had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Concarneau win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
