Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 46.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concarneau would win this match.
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