Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concarneau win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concarneau win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Troyes win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.