Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Laval had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.66%) and 2-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Laval win was 0-1 (11.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
