Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Laval had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.07) 
