Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 51.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Martigues had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Martigues win it was 0-1 (8.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.23) 
0.13) 
