Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunkerque win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunkerque win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunkerque would win this match.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
