Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Amiens win was 1-0 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.03) 
