Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Valenciennes had a probability of 29.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Valenciennes win was 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Amiens in this match.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
