Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
0.07) 
-0.08) 
