SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 31.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris FC | Draw | Amiens |
43.22% ( 0.07) | 25.42% ( -0.08) | 31.35% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.95% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( 0.35) | 48.71% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( 0.32) | 70.82% ( -0.32) |
| Paris FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( 0.19) | 22.47% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( 0.28) | 56.02% ( -0.27) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.18) | 29.12% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.95% ( 0.23) | 65.05% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris FC | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.22% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.35% |
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