Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 49.02%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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