Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Rodez AF had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Rodez AF win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
-0.31) 
0.52) 
