Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amiens win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Nimes had a probability of 28.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amiens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest Nimes win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Amiens in this match.
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