Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 24.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
-0.03) 
0.01) 
