SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Guingamp | Draw | Amiens |
38.21% ( 0.17) | 26.42% ( -0.04) | 35.37% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( 0.14) | 52% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( 0.12) | 73.74% ( -0.12) |
| Guingamp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.16) | 26.52% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.27% ( 0.21) | 61.72% ( -0.21) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.81% ( -0.01) | 28.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.02) | 63.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Guingamp | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.22% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.37% |
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