Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guingamp win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guingamp win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guingamp would win this match.
0.17) 
-0.04) 
