Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
-0.13) 
0.04) 
