SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Amiens had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Amiens win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Auxerre | Draw | Amiens |
45.06% ( -0.13) | 25.76% ( 0.04) | 29.19% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.75% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.13) | 51.06% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.08% ( -0.11) | 72.92% ( 0.12) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.39% ( -0.11) | 22.61% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.77% ( -0.17) | 56.23% ( 0.17) |
| Amiens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.16% ( 0) | 31.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.73% ( 0) | 68.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| Auxerre | Draw | Amiens |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.75% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.19% |
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