SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angers win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Angers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Angers | Draw | Auxerre |
37.9% ( -0.2) | 26.27% ( -0.13) | 35.82% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 53.29% ( 0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.64% ( 0.57) | 51.36% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.81% ( 0.49) | 73.18% ( -0.5) |
| Angers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( 0.15) | 26.4% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.44% ( 0.2) | 61.56% ( -0.21) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( 0.47) | 27.6% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.87% ( 0.6) | 63.13% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Angers | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.9% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.92% Total : 35.82% |
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