Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Rodez AF had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Rodez AF win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Caen in this match.
0.1) 
-0.02) 
